SIMPATI CARD
SALES EARLY PREDICTION IN SIMPATINDO MULTIMEDIA
PENGGILINGAN CAKUNG BRANCH EAST JAKARTA
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
TITLE
PAGE i
Originality
STATEMENT AND PUBLICATION ii
ENDORSEMENT
SHEET iii
ABSTRACT
iv
INTRODUCTION
v
TABLE OF
CONTENTS vii
LIST OF
TABLES ix
LIST OF
FIGURES x
INTRODUCTION
1
1.1
Background 1
1.2
Formulation and Limitations 2
1.3
Objective 2
1.4
Benefits Research 3
1.4.1
Academic Benefits 3
1.4.2
Practical Benefits 3
1.5
Research Methods 3
1.5.1
ObjekPenelitian 3
1.5.2
Variable Data 3
1.5.3
Data Collection Methods 3
1.5.4
Analysis Tools Used 4
CHAPTER
II LITERATURE REVIEW 5
2.1
Framework Theory 5
2.1.1
Definitions Forecasting 5
2.1.2
Definition of Sales 5
2.1.3
DefinisiRamalanPenjualan 5
Forecasting
2.1.4 Time Horizon 6
2.1.5
TipePeramalan 7
2.1.6
ProsesPeramalan 8
2.1.7
Mechanical-teknikPeramalan 10
2.2
KajianPenelitianSejenis 15
2.3
AlatAnalisis 16
BABIII
METHODS 20
3.1
Object Research 20
3.2 Data
/ Variable 20
3.3 Data
Collection Methods 20
3.4
Analysis Tools Used 20
CHAPTER
IV DISCUSSION 23
4.1 Data
and Research Object Profile 23
4.1.1
Company SejarahSingkat 23
4.1.2
Company StrukturOrganisasi 24
4.2
PembahasandanData Sales Results 25
4.3
PerhitunganPeramalanHasilPenelitian 28
4.3.1
Method of Moving Average 28
4.3.2
Method of Weight Moving Average 33
4.3.3
Exponential Smoothing Methods 38
4.4
RangkumanHasilPerhitungan 42
CLOSING
CHAPTER V 45
5.1
Conclusion 45
5.2
Suggestions 46
REFERENCES
47
ATTACHMENT
ABSTRACTION
Laila
Majda. 14212153
FORECASTING
SALES SIMPATI CARD EARLY ON
PT.
MULTIMEDIA Simpatindo BRANCH PENGGILINGAN CAKUNG EAST JAKARTA
PI.
Department of Management, Faculty of Economics, University Gunadarma 2015
Keywords:
Forecasting (Forcasting), Sales
(X + 47+
Appendix)
Forecasting
can be conducted to determine the approximate forecasting
sales of
products in the future to obtain results
effective
in product sales. With the sales forecasting or
forcasting
businesses considered able to analyze the market and minimize
the risk
of loss of the company. In this forecasting used three methods:
Moving
Average, Weight Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing. Data
used is
the sale of starter packs sympathy period january 2013
until
July 2015 and forecasting is done is for 1 month ahead
the
month of August, 2015.
On the
Moving Average method, forecasting sales that may occur
in
August 2015 as many as 1843 cards and Mean Absolute Deviation
as many
as 63 prime Sympathy cards. With Weight Moving Average method,
forecasting
sales that may occur in August 2015 as
1856
card and Mean Absolute Deviation 40 prime Sympathy cards.
And with
the exponential smoothing method, forecasting sales that may
occurred
in August 2015 as many as 1405 cards and Mean Absolute
Deviation
292 prime Sympathy cards.
Calculation
results of the three methods states that the method
the
better is the method Weight Moving Average Due
closer
to the truth or the smallest error rate in comparison.
Bibliography
(2002 - 2012)
